You may have to risk a catastrophe to prevent one
In Richard Posner's 2004 book, Catastrophe: Risk and Response (which must be 6 or 7 books ago for him by now), he discusses a number of far-fetched if not completely implausible catastrophic scenarios. Among them is the spread of "Grey Goo", i.e., the uncontrollable spread of a culture of self-replicating matter-consuming nanomachines.
Posner also discusses the prospect of catastrophic meteor impacts. In the long run, there is a high probability of a potential impact that would kill many millions, were it to happen today. I say "potential" because we might develop the means to avert such a disaster.
We've seen nuclear bombs used in Armageddon and Deep Impact (comet, same difference). We might instead attach rockets to a meteor in order to alter its velocity, as Posner mentions. What Posner fails to consider in this context is a potential application of grey goo. A capsule full of mineral-consuming nanomachines could be launched to intercept the meteor. By the time it reached Earth, the approaching body could be consumed, its elements now comprising a larger clump of grey goo. Being a more diffusive substance, it would, perhaps, completely incinerate in our atmosphere before crashing into the planet and eating it.
Posner also discusses the prospect of catastrophic meteor impacts. In the long run, there is a high probability of a potential impact that would kill many millions, were it to happen today. I say "potential" because we might develop the means to avert such a disaster.
We've seen nuclear bombs used in Armageddon and Deep Impact (comet, same difference). We might instead attach rockets to a meteor in order to alter its velocity, as Posner mentions. What Posner fails to consider in this context is a potential application of grey goo. A capsule full of mineral-consuming nanomachines could be launched to intercept the meteor. By the time it reached Earth, the approaching body could be consumed, its elements now comprising a larger clump of grey goo. Being a more diffusive substance, it would, perhaps, completely incinerate in our atmosphere before crashing into the planet and eating it.
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